April 24, 2015
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Valerie Letourneau |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 961 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Valerie Letourneau |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Valerie Letourneau |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 922 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Valerie Letourneau earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Valerie Letourneau |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 124 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 877 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Jessica Rakoczy controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (46 vs 38), superior accuracy (43.0% vs 30.6%). However, since Jessica Rakoczy lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Valerie Letourneau's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Valerie Letourneau |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:18 | 0:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 901 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Valerie Letourneau edged out Jessica Rakoczy on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 0:55 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Valerie Letourneau |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 511 | 315 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Valerie Letourneau demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Valerie Letourneau capitalized on this activity level, while Jessica Rakoczy's 511-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Valerie Letourneau |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Valerie Letourneau extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jessica Rakoczy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Valerie Letourneau |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.