October 26, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessin Ayari | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Stevie Ray's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stevie Ray for the expected result. Had Jessin Ayari pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jessin Ayari | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessin Ayari | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 950 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Stevie Ray earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jessin Ayari | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 63 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 138 | 174 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Stevie Ray edged the striking exchanges with 75 vs 63 significant strikes. Stevie Ray capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessin Ayari | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 954 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jessin Ayari | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 517 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 991 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +12 |
Stevie Ray demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Stevie Ray capitalized on this activity level, while Jessin Ayari's 517-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessin Ayari | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Stevie Ray started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jessin Ayari is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessin Ayari | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.