September 13, 2025
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Jesus Aguilar's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jesus Aguilar for the expected result. Had Luis Gurule pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 119 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Jesus Aguilar earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 85 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 235 | 186 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 87 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 045 | 853 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Jesus Aguilar controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 65 significant strikes. Jesus Aguilar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 974 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Jesus Aguilar did not secure a significant ground advantage against Luis Gurule on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Jesus Aguilar demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jesus Aguilar capitalized on this activity level, while Luis Gurule's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Jesus Aguilar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luis Gurule is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.