July 7, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Shannon Ross |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Shannon Ross |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Shannon Ross |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:17 | 0:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 087 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +118 | -41 |
Jesus Aguilar secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:17 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Shannon Ross |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 027 | 778 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Jesus Aguilar controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jesus Aguilar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Shannon Ross |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 947 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Shannon Ross |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -21 |
Jesus Aguilar demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jesus Aguilar capitalized on this activity level, while Shannon Ross's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Shannon Ross |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jesus Aguilar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shannon Ross is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jesus Aguilar | Shannon Ross |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

