Jesus Aguilar vs Stewart Nicoll

Jesus Aguilar's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jesus Aguilar for the expected result. Had Stewart Nicoll pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Jesus Aguilar earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Stewart Nicoll controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (8 vs 3), superior accuracy (47.1% vs 60.0%). However, since Stewart Nicoll lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jesus Aguilar's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Jesus Aguilar edged out Stewart Nicoll on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:16 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Jesus Aguilar demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jesus Aguilar capitalized on this activity level, while Stewart Nicoll's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Jesus Aguilar extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stewart Nicoll is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.