Jesus Aguilar vs Sumudaerji

March 7, 2026

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1012
(-36)
Jesus Aguilar
Winner: Sumudaerji
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Jesus Aguilar-36
Sumudaerji+37
1077
(+37)
Sumudaerji

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jesus Aguilar: -34Sumudaerji: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricJesus AguilarSumudaerji
Total UFC Fights710
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 0201 064
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Sumudaerji's 3-fight experience advantage (10 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sumudaerji for the expected result. Had Jesus Aguilar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jesus Aguilar: -22Sumudaerji: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJesus AguilarSumudaerji
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0151 037
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jesus Aguilar: -49Sumudaerji: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricJesus AguilarSumudaerji
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0701 112
ELO Change-49+49
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What Happened

Sumudaerji earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jesus Aguilar: -27Sumudaerji: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJesus AguilarSumudaerji
Significant Strikes Landed3162
Significant Strikes Attempted106148
Total Strikes Landed4269
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0181 174
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Sumudaerji controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 42 total strikes, 62 vs 31 significant strikes, 41.9% vs 29.2% accuracy. Sumudaerji capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jesus Aguilar: -97Sumudaerji: +97

Performance Statistics

MetricJesus AguilarSumudaerji
Takedowns Landed14
Takedowns Attempted55
Ground Control Time2:052:36
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO877991
ELO Change-97+97
💡

What Happened

Sumudaerji controlled Jesus Aguilar on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 2:36 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jesus Aguilar: -18Sumudaerji: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJesus AguilarSumudaerji
Days Since Last Fight175196
Activity ELO1 0521 140
ELO Change-18+23
💡

What Happened

Sumudaerji demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sumudaerji capitalized on this activity level, while Jesus Aguilar's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jesus Aguilar: -22Sumudaerji: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricJesus AguilarSumudaerji
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0271 063
ELO Change-22+28
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What Happened

Sumudaerji extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jesus Aguilar is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jesus Aguilar: -22Sumudaerji: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJesus AguilarSumudaerji
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0151 037
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.