March 22, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jesus Pinedo | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 042 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
John Makdessi's 14-fight experience advantage (16 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Makdessi for the expected result. Had Jesus Pinedo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jesus Pinedo | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jesus Pinedo | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 026 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
John Makdessi earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jesus Pinedo | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 137 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 997 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
John Makdessi controlled the striking exchanges with 75 vs 37 total strikes, 73 vs 37 significant strikes, 53.3% vs 32.7% accuracy. John Makdessi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jesus Pinedo | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 052 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jesus Pinedo | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +18 |
John Makdessi demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, John Makdessi capitalized on this activity level, while Jesus Pinedo's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jesus Pinedo | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
John Makdessi extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jesus Pinedo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jesus Pinedo | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

