August 9, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jhonata Diniz | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 105 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -38 |
Jhonata Diniz overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Karl Williams.
| Metric | Jhonata Diniz | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jhonata Diniz | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 130 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Jhonata Diniz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jhonata Diniz | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 103 | 84 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 110 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Jhonata Diniz controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 29 significant strikes, 57.3% vs 34.5% accuracy. Jhonata Diniz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jhonata Diniz | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 051 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Jhonata Diniz did not secure a significant ground advantage against Karl Williams on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jhonata Diniz | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 085 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -26 |
Jhonata Diniz demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jhonata Diniz capitalized on this activity level, while Karl Williams's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jhonata Diniz | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Jhonata Diniz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karl Williams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jhonata Diniz | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

