Jim Miller vs Joe Lauzon

August 26, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1190
(+31)
Jim Miller
Winner: Jim Miller
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jim Miller+31
Joe Lauzon-23
1150
(-23)
Joe Lauzon

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +32Joe Lauzon: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerJoe Lauzon
Total UFC Fights2422
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1721 118
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller's 2-fight experience advantage (24 vs 22 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Joe Lauzon pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +20Joe Lauzon: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerJoe Lauzon
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1171 060
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +13Joe Lauzon: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerJoe Lauzon
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2901 333
ELO Change+13-13
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jim Miller receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +28Joe Lauzon: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerJoe Lauzon
Significant Strikes Landed8054
Significant Strikes Attempted166136
Total Strikes Landed9792
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1871 138
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller controlled the striking exchanges with 80 vs 54 significant strikes, 48.2% vs 39.7% accuracy. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +31Joe Lauzon: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerJoe Lauzon
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted34
Ground Control Time0:086:12
Ground Strikes Landed412
Ground ELO1 0801 190
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller did not secure a significant ground advantage against Joe Lauzon on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +84Joe Lauzon: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerJoe Lauzon
Days Since Last Fight4949
Activity ELO1 3821 209
ELO Change+84-17
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Lauzon's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +22Joe Lauzon: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerJoe Lauzon
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1761 096
ELO Change+22-19
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Lauzon is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +20Joe Lauzon: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerJoe Lauzon
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1171 059
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.