April 9, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Miller | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 37 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 34 | -34 |
| Experience ELO | 1 074 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +88 |
Joe Solecki overcame a 34-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 37 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jim Miller.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 223 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Joe Solecki earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 93 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 049 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Joe Solecki controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 45 total strikes, 19 vs 11 significant strikes, 45.2% vs 32.4% accuracy. Joe Solecki capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:03 | 9:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 065 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Joe Solecki edged out Jim Miller on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 9:23 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 266 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +42 |
Joe Solecki demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Joe Solecki capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 092 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Joe Solecki extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.