March 18, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Miller | Kamal Shalorus |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 227 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Jim Miller's 9-fight experience advantage (10 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Kamal Shalorus pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Kamal Shalorus |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 150 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Kamal Shalorus |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:15 | 2:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 396 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -9 |
Jim Miller gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Kamal Shalorus |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 130 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 341 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Jim Miller controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 34 total strikes, 43 vs 26 significant strikes, 32.8% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Kamal Shalorus |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:26 | 1:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 414 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Jim Miller landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Kamal Shalorus |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 351 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -5 |
Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Kamal Shalorus's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Kamal Shalorus |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 228 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -10 |
Jim Miller continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Kamal Shalorus's now at 0.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Kamal Shalorus |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 149 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.