April 12, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Miller | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 44 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | 19 | -19 |
| Experience ELO | 1 132 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +70 |
King Green overcame a 19-fight experience disadvantage (25 vs 44 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jim Miller.
| Metric | Jim Miller | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Miller | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 333 | 1 449 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
King Green earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jim Miller | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 186 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 144 | 319 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 187 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 174 | 1 356 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
King Green dominated the striking exchanges with 187 vs 58 total strikes, 186 vs 57 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 39.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. King Green capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Miller | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 240 | 1 362 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
King Green landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jim Miller | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 311 | 1 390 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
King Green demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, King Green capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 140 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
King Green started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Miller | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 081 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.