July 10, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Miller | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Jim Miller earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 116 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 119 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jim Miller controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 20 significant strikes. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:28 | 0:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 282 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Jim Miller dominated Mac Danzig on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:28 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 167 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -14 |
Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Mac Danzig's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 056 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mac Danzig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

