Jim Miller vs Melvin Guillard

January 19, 2012

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1244
(+32)
Jim Miller
Winner: Jim Miller
Submission
Round 1 • 3:04

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jim Miller+32
Melvin Guillard-26
1163
(-26)
Melvin Guillard

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +36Melvin Guillard: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerMelvin Guillard
Total UFC Fights1216
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 2201 120
ELO Change+36-28
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Melvin Guillard.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +19Melvin Guillard: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerMelvin Guillard
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1411 070
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +64Melvin Guillard: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerMelvin Guillard
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:043:04
Win Type ELO1 3871 256
ELO Change+64-39
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +32Melvin Guillard: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerMelvin Guillard
Significant Strikes Landed416
Significant Strikes Attempted1226
Total Strikes Landed521
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2681 411
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Melvin Guillard controlled the striking through superior volume (21 vs 5 total strikes), significant strike advantage (16 vs 4), superior accuracy (61.5% vs 33.3%). However, since Melvin Guillard lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jim Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +42Melvin Guillard: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerMelvin Guillard
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time0:590:01
Ground Strikes Landed05
Ground ELO1 2411 058
ELO Change+42-42
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller controlled Melvin Guillard on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:59 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +27Melvin Guillard: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerMelvin Guillard
Days Since Last Fight160105
Activity ELO1 3421 204
ELO Change+27-15
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 160 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Melvin Guillard's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +19Melvin Guillard: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerMelvin Guillard
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 2151 115
ELO Change+19-17
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Melvin Guillard is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +19Melvin Guillard: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerMelvin Guillard
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1401 070
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.