December 9, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Miller | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 152 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +76 |
Michael Chiesa overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jim Miller.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 104 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:57 | 2:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 257 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +89 |
Michael Chiesa earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:57, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jim Miller was submitted.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 106 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Michael Chiesa slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 13 vs 7 significant strikes. Michael Chiesa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:27 | 4:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -154 | +154 |
Michael Chiesa dominated Jim Miller on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:13 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 139 | 251 |
| Activity ELO | 1 303 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +41 |
Michael Chiesa demonstrated standard activity with 251 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Michael Chiesa capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 139-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 162 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +33 |
Michael Chiesa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 103 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

