February 18, 2022
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Miller | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 39 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 38 | -38 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Jim Miller's 38-fight experience advantage (39 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Nikolas Motta pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:58 | 1:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 291 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -15 |
Jim Miller gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 205 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Jim Miller controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 21 total strikes, 48 vs 21 significant strikes, 52.2% vs 36.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 146 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Jim Miller landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 289 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -7 |
Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Nikolas Motta's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 127 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -15 |
Jim Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nikolas Motta is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 075 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

