Jim Miller vs Nikolas Motta

February 18, 2022

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1167
(+28)
Jim Miller
Winner: Jim Miller
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:58

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jim Miller+28
Nikolas Motta-25
975
(-25)
Nikolas Motta

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +23Nikolas Motta: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerNikolas Motta
Total UFC Fights391
Experience Gap38-38
Experience ELO1 122977
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller's 38-fight experience advantage (39 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Nikolas Motta pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +17Nikolas Motta: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerNikolas Motta
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 077983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +31Nikolas Motta: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerNikolas Motta
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:581:58
Win Type ELO1 291985
ELO Change+31-15
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +66Nikolas Motta: -66

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerNikolas Motta
Significant Strikes Landed4821
Significant Strikes Attempted9257
Total Strikes Landed4921
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 205934
ELO Change+66-66
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 21 total strikes, 48 vs 21 significant strikes, 52.2% vs 36.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +37Nikolas Motta: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerNikolas Motta
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:340:00
Ground Strikes Landed110
Ground ELO1 146963
ELO Change+37-37
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +14Nikolas Motta: -7

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerNikolas Motta
Days Since Last Fight127N/A
Activity ELO1 289993
ELO Change+14-7
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Nikolas Motta's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +18Nikolas Motta: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerNikolas Motta
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 127985
ELO Change+18-15
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nikolas Motta is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +18Nikolas Motta: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerNikolas Motta
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 075982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.