June 19, 2020
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Miller | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 35 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 29 | -29 |
| Experience ELO | 1 134 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Jim Miller's 29-fight experience advantage (35 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Roosevelt Roberts pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:25 | 2:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 342 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -26 |
Jim Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:25, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 137 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Jim Miller slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 66.7% vs 50.0% accuracy. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:48 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 179 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Jim Miller edged out Roosevelt Roberts on the ground with 1:48 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 21 |
| Activity ELO | 1 334 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -10 |
Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Roosevelt Roberts's 21-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 141 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roosevelt Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.