February 14, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Miller | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 34 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 24 | -24 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +87 |
Scott Holtzman overcame a 24-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 34 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jim Miller.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 065 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 297 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Scott Holtzman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 121 | 197 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 120 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 104 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Scott Holtzman dominated the striking exchanges with 120 vs 66 total strikes, 88 vs 58 significant strikes. Scott Holtzman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 4:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 128 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Scott Holtzman edged out Jim Miller on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:57 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 315 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +42 |
Scott Holtzman demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Scott Holtzman capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 121 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +30 |
Scott Holtzman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.