Jim Miller vs Steve Lopez

September 18, 2009

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1148
(+33)
Jim Miller
Winner: Jim Miller
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:48

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jim Miller+33
Steve Lopez-27
973
(-27)
Steve Lopez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +25Steve Lopez: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerSteve Lopez
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 096975
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Steve Lopez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +18Steve Lopez: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerSteve Lopez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 063982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +55Steve Lopez: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerSteve Lopez
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:480:48
Win Type ELO1 186973
ELO Change+55-27
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What Happened

Jim Miller gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +80Steve Lopez: -80

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerSteve Lopez
Significant Strikes Landed306
Significant Strikes Attempted8749
Total Strikes Landed4015
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 199920
ELO Change+80-80
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What Happened

Jim Miller controlled the striking exchanges with 40 vs 15 total strikes, 30 vs 6 significant strikes, 34.5% vs 12.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +19Steve Lopez: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerSteve Lopez
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time2:180:00
Ground Strikes Landed110
Ground ELO1 301981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +35Steve Lopez: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerSteve Lopez
Days Since Last Fight70N/A
Activity ELO1 202988
ELO Change+35-12
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Lopez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +21Steve Lopez: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerSteve Lopez
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 077982
ELO Change+21-18
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Lopez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jim Miller: +18Steve Lopez: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJim MillerSteve Lopez
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 063982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.