July 8, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Miller | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 140 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Jim Miller's 12-fight experience advantage (23 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Takanori Gomi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 097 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:18 | 2:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 277 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -32 |
Jim Miller earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 159 | 879 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Jim Miller slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 8 vs 1 significant strikes, 30.8% vs 20.0% accuracy. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:33 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Jim Miller controlled Takanori Gomi on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:33 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 350 |
| Activity ELO | 1 298 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -10 |
Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Takanori Gomi's 350-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 154 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -14 |
Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Takanori Gomi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 097 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.