April 25, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Miller | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 237 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Jim Miller's 14-fight experience advantage (17 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Yancy Medeiros pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 161 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:18 | 3:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 407 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -7 |
Jim Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 266 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Yancy Medeiros lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Jim Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 209 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Jim Miller edged out Yancy Medeiros on the ground with 0:29 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 171 |
| Activity ELO | 1 354 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -5 |
Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Yancy Medeiros's 171-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 227 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -9 |
Jim Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yancy Medeiros is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Miller | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 160 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.