February 6, 1997
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Mullen | Scott Ferrozzo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Scott Ferrozzo's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Scott Ferrozzo for the expected result. Had Jim Mullen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jim Mullen | Scott Ferrozzo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Mullen | Scott Ferrozzo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 8:02 | 8:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 962 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +82 |
Scott Ferrozzo earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 8:02, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jim Mullen | Scott Ferrozzo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 901 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -99 | +99 |
Scott Ferrozzo dominated the striking exchanges with 63 vs 4 total strikes, 30 vs 3 significant strikes, 71.4% vs 60.0% accuracy. Scott Ferrozzo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Mullen | Scott Ferrozzo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 933 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Scott Ferrozzo controlled Jim Mullen on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Mullen | Scott Ferrozzo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +39 |
Scott Ferrozzo demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Scott Ferrozzo capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Mullen's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Mullen | Scott Ferrozzo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Scott Ferrozzo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Mullen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Mullen | Scott Ferrozzo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.