June 2, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jim Wallhead | Luan Chagas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 949 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jim Wallhead | Luan Chagas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jim Wallhead | Luan Chagas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:48 | 4:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 948 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +65 |
Luan Chagas earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:48, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jim Wallhead was submitted.
| Metric | Jim Wallhead | Luan Chagas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 95 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 160 | 157 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 885 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Luan Chagas dominated the striking exchanges with 95 vs 33 total strikes, 95 vs 32 significant strikes, 60.5% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Luan Chagas capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jim Wallhead | Luan Chagas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 868 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -111 | +111 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jim Wallhead | Luan Chagas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 959 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Luan Chagas demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Luan Chagas capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Wallhead's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jim Wallhead | Luan Chagas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Luan Chagas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Wallhead is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jim Wallhead | Luan Chagas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

