February 26, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jimmie Rivera | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 152 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Pedro Munhoz's 4-fight experience advantage (15 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pedro Munhoz for the expected result. Had Jimmie Rivera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jimmie Rivera | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 065 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jimmie Rivera | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 212 | 1 423 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Pedro Munhoz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jimmie Rivera | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 94 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 193 | 194 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 088 | 1 323 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Pedro Munhoz controlled the striking exchanges with 94 vs 65 total strikes, 94 vs 65 significant strikes, 48.5% vs 33.7% accuracy. Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jimmie Rivera | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 178 | 1 339 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jimmie Rivera | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 228 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 197 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Pedro Munhoz demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this activity level, while Jimmie Rivera's 228-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jimmie Rivera | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 105 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +24 |
Pedro Munhoz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jimmie Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jimmie Rivera | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

