September 13, 2019
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Misha Cirkunov's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Misha Cirkunov for the expected result. Had Jimmy Crute pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:38 | 3:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 170 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +67 |
Misha Cirkunov earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 175 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Jimmy Crute controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (21 vs 6). However, since Jimmy Crute lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Misha Cirkunov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 2:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 128 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Misha Cirkunov controlled Jimmy Crute on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:30 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 106 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Misha Cirkunov demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Misha Cirkunov capitalized on this activity level, while Jimmy Crute's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Misha Cirkunov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jimmy Crute is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.