October 16, 2020
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 160 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Jimmy Crute's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jimmy Crute for the expected result. Had Modestas Bukauskas pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 065 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:01 | 2:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 304 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -24 |
Jimmy Crute earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 289 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Jimmy Crute dominated the striking exchanges with 17 vs 7 significant strikes, 70.8% vs 41.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jimmy Crute capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 267 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 94 |
| Activity ELO | 1 161 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Jimmy Crute demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jimmy Crute capitalized on this activity level, while Modestas Bukauskas's 94-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Jimmy Crute extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Modestas Bukauskas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 065 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

