November 30, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Jimmy Crute overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paul Craig.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:51 | 4:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 075 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -50 |
Jimmy Crute earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:51, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Paul Craig was submitted.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 899 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Jimmy Crute slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 17 vs 12 significant strikes, 44.7% vs 54.5% accuracy. Jimmy Crute capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:25 | 4:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 138 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +138 | -138 |
Jimmy Crute dominated Paul Craig on the ground with 1 takedown, 8:25 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 022 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Jimmy Crute demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jimmy Crute capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Craig's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -21 |
Jimmy Crute started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Craig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jimmy Crute | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.