November 4, 2022
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jinh Yu Frey | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 959 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Polyana Viana's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Polyana Viana for the expected result. Had Jinh Yu Frey pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jinh Yu Frey | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jinh Yu Frey | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:47 | 0:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 965 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +91 |
Polyana Viana secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:47 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Jinh Yu Frey | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 869 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Polyana Viana controlled the striking exchanges with 11 vs 6 significant strikes, 61.1% vs 42.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Polyana Viana capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jinh Yu Frey | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jinh Yu Frey | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +39 |
Polyana Viana demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Polyana Viana capitalized on this activity level, while Jinh Yu Frey's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jinh Yu Frey | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 966 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Polyana Viana started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jinh Yu Frey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jinh Yu Frey | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

