Joanderson Brito vs Lucas Alexander

October 14, 2022

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1083
(+36)
Joanderson Brito
Winner: Joanderson Brito
Submission
Round 1 • 2:02

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Joanderson Brito+36
Lucas Alexander-31
969
(-31)
Lucas Alexander

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Joanderson Brito: +27Lucas Alexander: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricJoanderson BritoLucas Alexander
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 078973
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Joanderson Brito's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joanderson Brito for the expected result. Had Lucas Alexander pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Joanderson Brito: +21Lucas Alexander: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJoanderson BritoLucas Alexander
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 024979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Joanderson Brito: +48Lucas Alexander: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricJoanderson BritoLucas Alexander
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:022:02
Win Type ELO1 174973
ELO Change+48-27
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What Happened

Joanderson Brito earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:02, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Joanderson Brito: +44Lucas Alexander: -44

Performance Statistics

MetricJoanderson BritoLucas Alexander
Significant Strikes Landed41
Significant Strikes Attempted82
Total Strikes Landed71
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 168956
ELO Change+44-44
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What Happened

Joanderson Brito slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Joanderson Brito capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Joanderson Brito: +74Lucas Alexander: -74

Performance Statistics

MetricJoanderson BritoLucas Alexander
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time1:250:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 072926
ELO Change+74-74
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What Happened

Joanderson Brito controlled Lucas Alexander on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:25 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Joanderson Brito: +30Lucas Alexander: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJoanderson BritoLucas Alexander
Days Since Last Fight168N/A
Activity ELO1 091983
ELO Change+30-17
💡

What Happened

Joanderson Brito demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joanderson Brito capitalized on this activity level, while Lucas Alexander's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Joanderson Brito: +25Lucas Alexander: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJoanderson BritoLucas Alexander
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 033979
ELO Change+25-21
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What Happened

Joanderson Brito extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lucas Alexander is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Joanderson Brito: +21Lucas Alexander: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJoanderson BritoLucas Alexander
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 024979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.