November 11, 2016
UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 188 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joanna Jedrzejczyk for the expected result. Had Karolina Kowalkiewicz pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 269 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -11 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Joanna Jedrzejczyk captured the UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 275 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 171 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 360 | 220 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 181 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 317 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk dominated the striking exchanges with 181 vs 63 total strikes, 171 vs 50 significant strikes, 47.5% vs 22.7% accuracy. Joanna Jedrzejczyk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:29 | 3:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 204 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk did not secure a significant ground advantage against Karolina Kowalkiewicz on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:29 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 128 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -17 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk demonstrated solid activity levels with 128 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joanna Jedrzejczyk capitalized on this activity level, while Karolina Kowalkiewicz's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 215 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -16 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Karolina Kowalkiewicz's now at 0.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 135 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.