July 27, 2018
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 169 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joanna Jedrzejczyk for the expected result. Had Tecia Pennington pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 250 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 256 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 166 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 190 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 54 total strikes, 62 vs 33 significant strikes. Joanna Jedrzejczyk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:15 | 4:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 205 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tecia Pennington on the ground with 2:15 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 240 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -16 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joanna Jedrzejczyk capitalized on this activity level, while Tecia Pennington's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 219 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -14 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tecia Pennington is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 120 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.