March 6, 2020
UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 138 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +44 |
Zhang Weili overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joanna Jedrzejczyk.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 205 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +77 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Zhang Weili captured the UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 235 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Zhang Weili receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 186 | 165 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 360 | 408 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 196 | 170 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 197 | 1 373 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk controlled the striking through superior volume (196 vs 170 total strikes), significant strike advantage (186 vs 165), superior accuracy (51.7% vs 40.4%). However, since Joanna Jedrzejczyk lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Zhang Weili's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 1:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 151 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Zhang Weili did not secure a significant ground advantage against Joanna Jedrzejczyk on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:14 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 203 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +31 |
Zhang Weili demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Zhang Weili capitalized on this activity level, while Joanna Jedrzejczyk's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 180 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +50 |
Zhang Weili continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Joanna Jedrzejczyk's now at 0.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 091 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.