June 10, 2022
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 111 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +40 |
Zhang Weili overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joanna Jedrzejczyk.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 183 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:28 | 2:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 199 | 1 357 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +75 |
Zhang Weili gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 113 | 1 339 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Zhang Weili dominated the striking exchanges with 94 vs 44 total strikes, 69 vs 43 significant strikes, 67.6% vs 50.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Zhang Weili capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 35 |
| Ground ELO | 1 095 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Zhang Weili controlled Joanna Jedrzejczyk on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:49 of control time, 35 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 826 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 179 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Zhang Weili demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Zhang Weili capitalized on this activity level, while Joanna Jedrzejczyk's 826-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 156 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Zhang Weili started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joanna Jedrzejczyk is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.