June 11, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +37 |
Lauren Murphy overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joanne Wood.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 076 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Lauren Murphy receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 123 | 80 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 228 | 148 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 153 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 139 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Joanne Wood controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (153 vs 121 total strikes), significant strike advantage (123 vs 80). However, since Joanne Wood lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Lauren Murphy's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 4:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 989 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Lauren Murphy controlled Joanne Wood on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:54 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 107 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Lauren Murphy demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Lauren Murphy capitalized on this activity level, while Joanne Wood's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 035 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +38 |
Lauren Murphy continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Joanne Wood's now at 0.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.