March 8, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 049 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Joanne Wood's 5-fight experience advantage (17 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joanne Wood for the expected result. Had Maryna Moroz pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 031 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Joanne Wood receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 136 | 102 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 249 | 195 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 173 | 156 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 075 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Joanne Wood controlled the striking exchanges with 136 vs 102 significant strikes. Joanne Wood capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 6:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 001 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Joanne Wood did not secure a significant ground advantage against Maryna Moroz on the ground with 1 takedown, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 357 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 1 100 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Joanne Wood demonstrated standard activity with 357 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Joanne Wood capitalized on this activity level, while Maryna Moroz's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Joanne Wood extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maryna Moroz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joanne Wood | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.