June 21, 2002
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joao Pierini | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 963 | 975 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Yves Edwards's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yves Edwards for the expected result. Had Joao Pierini pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joao Pierini | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 976 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joao Pierini | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:19 | 1:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 952 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +114 |
Yves Edwards earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Joao Pierini | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 880 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -120 | +120 |
Yves Edwards slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 6 vs 1 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 14.3% accuracy. Yves Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joao Pierini | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 928 | 936 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Joao Pierini | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 43 |
| Activity ELO | 977 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +117 |
Yves Edwards demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 43 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Yves Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Joao Pierini's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joao Pierini | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 976 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Yves Edwards started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joao Pierini is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joao Pierini | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 976 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

