September 4, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joaquim Silva | Nazareno Malegarie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joaquim Silva | Nazareno Malegarie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joaquim Silva | Nazareno Malegarie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 011 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Joaquim Silva receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Joaquim Silva | Nazareno Malegarie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 162 | 166 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Nazareno Malegarie controlled the striking through superior volume (68 vs 49 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (58 vs 49). However, since Nazareno Malegarie lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joaquim Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Joaquim Silva | Nazareno Malegarie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Joaquim Silva did not secure a significant ground advantage against Nazareno Malegarie on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joaquim Silva | Nazareno Malegarie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Joaquim Silva demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Joaquim Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Nazareno Malegarie's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joaquim Silva | Nazareno Malegarie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Joaquim Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nazareno Malegarie is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joaquim Silva | Nazareno Malegarie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

