August 7, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 972 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Kevin Holland's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kevin Holland for the expected result. Had Joaquin Buckley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:32 | 0:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 976 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +49 |
Kevin Holland gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 134 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 940 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Kevin Holland dominated the striking exchanges with 86 vs 41 total strikes, 79 vs 40 significant strikes, 59.0% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Kevin Holland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +40 |
Kevin Holland demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Kevin Holland capitalized on this activity level, while Joaquin Buckley's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Kevin Holland extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joaquin Buckley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

