Joaquin Buckley vs Kevin Holland

August 7, 2020

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

974
(-26)
Joaquin Buckley
Winner: Kevin Holland
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 0:32

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Joaquin Buckley-26
Kevin Holland+33
1136
(+33)
Kevin Holland

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Joaquin Buckley: -28Kevin Holland: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricJoaquin BuckleyKevin Holland
Total UFC Fights17
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9721 064
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Kevin Holland's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kevin Holland for the expected result. Had Joaquin Buckley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Joaquin Buckley: -18Kevin Holland: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJoaquin BuckleyKevin Holland
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 062
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Joaquin Buckley: -24Kevin Holland: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricJoaquin BuckleyKevin Holland
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:320:32
Win Type ELO9761 205
ELO Change-24+49
💡

What Happened

Kevin Holland gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Joaquin Buckley: -60Kevin Holland: +60

Performance Statistics

MetricJoaquin BuckleyKevin Holland
Significant Strikes Landed4079
Significant Strikes Attempted120134
Total Strikes Landed4186
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO9401 279
ELO Change-60+60
💡

What Happened

Kevin Holland dominated the striking exchanges with 86 vs 41 total strikes, 79 vs 40 significant strikes, 59.0% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Kevin Holland capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Joaquin Buckley: -34Kevin Holland: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricJoaquin BuckleyKevin Holland
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:130:12
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO9661 160
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Joaquin Buckley: -13Kevin Holland: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricJoaquin BuckleyKevin Holland
Days Since Last FightN/A84
Activity ELO9871 176
ELO Change-13+40
💡

What Happened

Kevin Holland demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Kevin Holland capitalized on this activity level, while Joaquin Buckley's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Joaquin Buckley: -17Kevin Holland: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJoaquin BuckleyKevin Holland
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9831 081
ELO Change-17+21
💡

What Happened

Kevin Holland extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joaquin Buckley is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Joaquin Buckley: -18Kevin Holland: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJoaquin BuckleyKevin Holland
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9821 062
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.