May 10, 2024
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 237 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Joaquin Buckley's 10-fight experience advantage (13 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joaquin Buckley for the expected result. Had Nursulton Ruziboev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 110 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 424 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Joaquin Buckley earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 86 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 156 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 366 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Joaquin Buckley dominated the striking exchanges with 113 vs 43 total strikes, 86 vs 31 significant strikes, 55.1% vs 43.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Joaquin Buckley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:30 | 0:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 71 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 291 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Joaquin Buckley dominated Nursulton Ruziboev on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:30 of control time, 71 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 42 | 42 |
| Activity ELO | 1 336 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -8 |
Joaquin Buckley demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 42 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Joaquin Buckley capitalized on this activity level, while Nursulton Ruziboev's 42-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 153 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -16 |
Joaquin Buckley extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nursulton Ruziboev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 109 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

