March 29, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 214 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -47 |
Joaquin Buckley overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Vicente Luque.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 092 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:17 | 3:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 403 | 1 456 |
| ELO Change | +141 | -69 |
Joaquin Buckley gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 305 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | +109 | -109 |
Joaquin Buckley controlled the striking exchanges with 63 vs 22 total strikes, 55 vs 21 significant strikes, 42.0% vs 33.3% accuracy. Joaquin Buckley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 34 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 234 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Joaquin Buckley controlled Vicente Luque on the ground with 0:49 of control time, 34 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 232 |
| Activity ELO | 1 295 | 1 354 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -29 |
Joaquin Buckley demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joaquin Buckley capitalized on this activity level, while Vicente Luque's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 130 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -30 |
Joaquin Buckley extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vicente Luque is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joaquin Buckley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 091 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.