January 17, 2015
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Tateki Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Tateki Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Tateki Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Joby Sanchez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Tateki Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 211 | 167 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 023 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Joby Sanchez controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Joby Sanchez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Tateki Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:27 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 001 | 860 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Joby Sanchez landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Tateki Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 149 | 136 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Joby Sanchez demonstrated solid activity levels with 149 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joby Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Tateki Matsuda's 136-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Tateki Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Joby Sanchez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tateki Matsuda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Tateki Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.