August 22, 2014
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 972 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Wilson Reis's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Wilson Reis for the expected result. Had Joby Sanchez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 964 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Wilson Reis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Wilson Reis controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 36 total strikes, 32.8% vs 23.3% accuracy. Wilson Reis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 6:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 932 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Wilson Reis controlled Joby Sanchez on the ground with 9 vs 0 takedowns, 6:35 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Wilson Reis demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Wilson Reis capitalized on this activity level, while Joby Sanchez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Wilson Reis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joby Sanchez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joby Sanchez | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.