June 17, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 939 | 978 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Randa Markos's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randa Markos for the expected result. Had Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 929 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Randa Markos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 79 | 86 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 235 | 243 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 116 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 943 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Randa Markos edged the striking exchanges with 116 vs 96 total strikes, 86 vs 79 significant strikes. Randa Markos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:50 | 1:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 910 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Randa Markos controlled Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:59 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Randa Markos demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Randa Markos capitalized on this activity level, while Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Randa Markos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.