Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger vs Tecia Pennington

December 11, 2015

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

976
(-24)
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger
Winner: Tecia Pennington
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger-24
Tecia Pennington+25
1092
(+25)
Tecia Pennington

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger: -27Tecia Pennington: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJocelyn Jones-LybargerTecia Pennington
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9731 080
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tecia Pennington for the expected result. Had Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger: -18Tecia Pennington: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJocelyn Jones-LybargerTecia Pennington
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger: -32Tecia Pennington: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricJocelyn Jones-LybargerTecia Pennington
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9681 116
ELO Change-32+32
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What Happened

Tecia Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger: -33Tecia Pennington: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricJocelyn Jones-LybargerTecia Pennington
Significant Strikes Landed2977
Significant Strikes Attempted106133
Total Strikes Landed53126
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9671 139
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington dominated the striking exchanges with 126 vs 53 total strikes, 77 vs 29 significant strikes, 57.9% vs 27.4% accuracy. Tecia Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger: -30Tecia Pennington: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricJocelyn Jones-LybargerTecia Pennington
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted24
Ground Control Time2:215:35
Ground Strikes Landed39
Ground ELO9701 141
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington edged out Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger on the ground with 5:35 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger: -18Tecia Pennington: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJocelyn Jones-LybargerTecia Pennington
Days Since Last FightN/A183
Activity ELO9821 070
ELO Change-18+23
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tecia Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger: -18Tecia Pennington: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJocelyn Jones-LybargerTecia Pennington
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9821 072
ELO Change-18+24
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What Happened

Tecia Pennington extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger: -18Tecia Pennington: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJocelyn Jones-LybargerTecia Pennington
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.