December 4, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Brammer | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 972 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Mark Bocek's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mark Bocek for the expected result. Had Joe Brammer pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joe Brammer | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Brammer | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:36 | 3:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 971 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +48 |
Mark Bocek earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:36, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Joe Brammer | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 960 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Mark Bocek slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 37.5% vs 15.8% accuracy. Mark Bocek capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Brammer | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 2:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 974 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Mark Bocek controlled Joe Brammer on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:13 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Joe Brammer | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 232 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Mark Bocek demonstrated standard activity with 232 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mark Bocek capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Brammer's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Brammer | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Mark Bocek extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Brammer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Brammer | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.