August 19, 2005
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Matt Lindland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Matt Lindland's 9-fight experience advantage (12 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Lindland for the expected result. Had Joe Doerksen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Matt Lindland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Matt Lindland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 008 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Matt Lindland earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Matt Lindland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 917 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Matt Lindland controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 22 total strikes, 19 vs 8 significant strikes, 44.2% vs 53.3% accuracy. Matt Lindland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Matt Lindland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:22 | 12:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 986 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Matt Lindland dominated Joe Doerksen on the ground with 4 vs 2 takedowns, 12:04 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Matt Lindland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 994 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +24 |
Matt Lindland demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Lindland capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Doerksen's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Matt Lindland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +18 |
Matt Lindland extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Doerksen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Matt Lindland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

