March 3, 2006
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 959 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Nate Marquardt overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joe Doerksen.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 966 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 973 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Nate Marquardt earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 103 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 896 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Nate Marquardt controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 26 significant strikes, 54.4% vs 32.5% accuracy. Nate Marquardt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:41 | 6:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 936 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Nate Marquardt controlled Joe Doerksen on the ground with 5 vs 2 takedowns, 6:45 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 975 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Nate Marquardt demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nate Marquardt capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Doerksen's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 969 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +22 |
Nate Marquardt extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Doerksen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Doerksen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 965 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

