Joe Doerksen vs Tom Lawlor

May 7, 2010

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

952
(+44)
Joe Doerksen
Winner: Joe Doerksen
Submission
Round 2 • 2:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Joe Doerksen+44
Tom Lawlor-39
1012
(-39)
Tom Lawlor

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Doerksen: +41Tom Lawlor: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe DoerksenTom Lawlor
Total UFC Fights74
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO968998
ELO Change+41-41
💡

What Happened

Joe Doerksen's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joe Doerksen for the expected result. Had Tom Lawlor pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Doerksen: +26Tom Lawlor: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe DoerksenTom Lawlor
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO957995
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Doerksen: +102Tom Lawlor: -66

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe DoerksenTom Lawlor
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:102:10
Win Type ELO1 0281 083
ELO Change+102-66
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What Happened

Joe Doerksen earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tom Lawlor was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Doerksen: +38Tom Lawlor: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe DoerksenTom Lawlor
Significant Strikes Landed4442
Significant Strikes Attempted9492
Total Strikes Landed5347
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8291 003
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Tom Lawlor controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Tom Lawlor lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joe Doerksen's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Doerksen: +64Tom Lawlor: -64

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe DoerksenTom Lawlor
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted12
Ground Control Time0:310:24
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9401 010
ELO Change+64-64
💡

What Happened

Joe Doerksen edged out Tom Lawlor on the ground with 0:31 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Doerksen: +24Tom Lawlor: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe DoerksenTom Lawlor
Days Since Last Fight749117
Activity ELO9721 010
ELO Change+24-26
💡

What Happened

Joe Doerksen demonstrated extended layoff with 749 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Joe Doerksen capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Lawlor's 117-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Doerksen: +29Tom Lawlor: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe DoerksenTom Lawlor
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO9641 002
ELO Change+29-26
💡

What Happened

Joe Doerksen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Lawlor is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Doerksen: +26Tom Lawlor: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe DoerksenTom Lawlor
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO956995
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.