March 15, 2019
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 076 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +40 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 154 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Marc Diakiese earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 981 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -92 | +92 |
Marc Diakiese dominated the striking exchanges with 80 vs 24 total strikes, 63 vs 15 significant strikes, 59.4% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Marc Diakiese capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:35 | 4:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 006 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -128 | +128 |
Marc Diakiese landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 497 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 058 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Marc Diakiese demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Marc Diakiese capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Duffy's 497-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Marc Diakiese started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Duffy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.