July 6, 2016
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -27 |
Joe Duffy overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mitch Clarke.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:25 | 0:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 203 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -33 |
Joe Duffy locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:25 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 140 | 894 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Joe Duffy controlled the striking exchanges with 42.9% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Joe Duffy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 085 | 827 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 187 | 460 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Joe Duffy demonstrated standard activity with 187 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Joe Duffy capitalized on this activity level, while Mitch Clarke's 460-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Joe Duffy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mitch Clarke is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.